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3.7.2008

The Hispanic Vote in the 2008 Democratic Presidential Primaries

by Susan Minushkin and Mark Hugo Lopez, Pew Hispanic Center

Updated June 4, 2008 to include results from the Puerto Rico primary

Updated March 7, 2008 to include results from Texas and other recent primaries


Hispanics have emerged as a potentially pivotal constituency in the battle between Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama for the Democratic presidential nomination. This report examines the turnout, demographic characteristics, opinions and voting patterns of the Hispanic electorate in Democratic primaries and caucuses held so far in 2008. Where possible, it draws comparisons and contrasts between Latino, black and white voting patterns. It also compares Latino turnout in 2008 with turnout in 2004. The report is based on an analysis of Super Tuesday exit polling data about Hispanics that the Pew Hispanic Center received on a contractual basis from Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International, the firm that conducts exit poll surveys for the National Election Pool, a national consortium of media organizations. It also contains analysis of publicly available exit poll data for the Texas primary and vote tallies for the Puerto Rico primary from the State Electoral Commission of Puerto Rico.

Other Resources

Pew Hispanic Center, February 2008. Hispanics in the 2008 Election Fact Sheets. Washington, DC: Pew Hispanic Center.

Paul Taylor and Richard Fry. Hispanics and the 2008 Election: A Swing Vote?. December 2007. Washington, DC: Pew Hispanic Center.