by Susan Minushkin and Mark Hugo Lopez, Pew Hispanic Center
Updated June 4, 2008 to include results from the Puerto Rico primary
Updated March 7, 2008 to include results from Texas and other recent primaries
Hispanics have emerged as a potentially pivotal constituency in the battle between Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama for the Democratic presidential nomination. This report examines the turnout, demographic characteristics, opinions and voting patterns of the Hispanic electorate in Democratic primaries and caucuses held so far in 2008. Where possible, it draws comparisons and contrasts between Latino, black and white voting patterns. It also compares Latino turnout in 2008 with turnout in 2004. The report is based on an analysis of Super Tuesday exit polling data about Hispanics that the Pew Hispanic Center received on a contractual basis from Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International, the firm that conducts exit poll surveys for the National Election Pool, a national consortium of media organizations. It also contains analysis of publicly available exit poll data for the Texas primary and vote tallies for the Puerto Rico primary from the State Electoral Commission of Puerto Rico.
Pew Hispanic Center, February 2008. Hispanics in the 2008 Election Fact Sheets. Washington, DC: Pew Hispanic Center.
Paul Taylor and Richard Fry. Hispanics and the 2008 Election: A Swing Vote?. December 2007. Washington, DC: Pew Hispanic Center.
Dissecting the 2008 Electorate: Most Diverse in U.S. History
Hispanics and the New Administration
Immigration Slips as a Top Priority
The Hispanic Vote in the 2008 Election
Among Hispanics in Florida, 2008 Voter Registration Rolls Swing Democratic
The Latino Electorate: An Analysis of the 2006 Election